I feel very lukewarm about the ladies field this year if I am being real with you. With big names like Asada, Gold and Wagner out, I am very meh about half of these skaters. Nevertheless, the competion has a few interesting storylines to watch---Can Anna dethrone Evgenia? Can Satoko reestablish herself as a contender?
Although my personal preference would be for Anna to win here ( I can't believe I have lived to see this day), but the numbers just aren't there. Evgenia's TES averages 2-4 points higher in each segment of the competition, and her PCS average over a point better in each. I think it would take mistakes from the World Champ to put Anna on the top of the podium. Though I would love to see that, I think Evgenia Medvedeva will defend her title here. Anna Pogorilaya is having one hell of a start to her season. I find her program choices to be stronger than Evgenia's and she has brought consistency to her jumps this year. With two wins on the Grand Prix and four solid skates, she certainly isn't out of the running for the gold. She can really keep her name in the mix for the World title if she can skate consistently here and keep her momentum going. It will be an interestng battle for bronze between Elena and Satoko Miyahara. Both have had less luck with their jumps this season than in the past, but Elena Radionova looked stronger at her last event and she's my pick for the bronze because of it. I think Satoko's skating quality is so underappreciated, but that some jump calls will be the reason she finishes fourth. Maria Sotskova vs. Kaetlyn Osmund is an intriguing matchup as well. I think Kaetlyn is a better performer, but the consistency of Sotskova's jumps will be what the Russian rookie from finishing #notlast.
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